東証グロース市場250指数先物見通し：引き続き上値の重い展開か

2025年01月24日 08:05:00
マネー
FISCO
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本日の東証グロース市場250指数先物は、引き続き上値の重い展開が予想されています。米国市場の影響としては、ダウ平均が大幅に上昇しましたが、ナスダックの軟調な動きが続いており、特にハイテク株が重しになっています。金利引き下げや規制緩和によるプラス要因も期待されますが、グロース市場が物色の対象から外れがちな状況は変わりないと見られています。また、日銀の政策決定会合による利上げ期待も概ね織り込まれており、その結果発表後の反応に注目が集まります。夜間取引では僅かに上昇したものの、大きな動きには至っておらず、上値の目標は625pt、下値の目標は610ptとされています。

*08:05JST 東証グロース市場250指数先物見通し：引き続き上値の重い展開か本日の東証グロース市場250指数先物は、引き続き上値の重い展開を想定する。前日23日の米国市場のダウ平均は408.34ドル高の44,565.07ドル、ナスダックは44.34pt高の20,053.68ptで取引を終了した。雇用関連指標が弱く、さらに半導体需要の低迷懸念浮上でハイテクが重しとなり、寄り付き後、軟調。その後、トランプ大統領がダボス会議での演説で、国内で史上最大の減税や規制緩和の計画を再表明したほか、金利の引き下げや原油価格の下落を要請するとの発言を受け、ダウは上昇に転じ終盤にかけ上げ幅を拡大した。ナスダックは終日軟調に推移もプラスに転じ、終了。S&P500種指数は過去最高値を更新した。本日の東証グロース市場250指数先物は、引き続き上値の重い展開を想定する。米国株の続伸は好材料だが、連日のようにグロース市場は物色の対象外されており、その流れが続くことが警戒される。主要な短期移動平均線を下回っており、戻り売り圧力も高そうだ。日銀政策委員会・金融政策決定会合終了後には0.25bpの利上げが見込まれているが、概ね織り込まれており、発表後に出尽くし感で買われるか注目したい。なお、夜間取引の東証グロース市場250指数先物は前営業日日中終値比1pt高の617ptで終えている。上値のメドは625pt、下値のメドは610ptとする。

＜SK＞

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