今日の為替市場ポイント:◆ユーロ編◆リスク回避的なユーロ売り・円買いがただちに強まる可能性は低い見通し

2024年12月19日 07:53:00
マネー
FISCO
コメント

今日の為替市場において、ユーロに関するリスク回避的な売り圧力の増加はすぐには起こらないと考えられています。最近のユーロ・ドルはやや回復し、2024年には1.1ドル台に戻ると見込まれています。また、ユーロ・円も過去の急落から回復し、最近では円安とドル高の影響を受けて175円16銭まで上昇しています。欧州中央銀行（ECB）は2025年も利下げを予想していますが、日本銀行の政策金利の急上昇は見込まれておらず、日欧の金利差の大幅な縮小は考えにくい状況です。したがって、リスク回避的なユーロ売り・円買いの動きがすぐに強まる可能性は低いと見られます。

*07:53JST 今日の為替市場ポイント:◆ユーロ編◆リスク回避的なユーロ売り・円買いがただちに強まる可能性は低い見通しユーロ・ドルは、1.0341ドル（2017/01/03）まで下落したが、1.2537ドル（2018/02/18）まで上昇。その後、0.9536（2022/09/28）まで反落したが、2024年にかけて1.1ドル台まで戻している。ユーロ・円は英国民投票で欧州連合（EU）からの離脱が決定し、一時109円57銭（2016/06/24）まで急落。その後137円50銭（2018/2/2）まで買われたあと、長期間伸び悩んだが、日欧金利差の拡大や円安・ドル高の進行を受けて175円16銭（2024/7/10）まで上昇。欧州中央銀行（ECB）は2025年も利下げを行う見通しだが、日本銀行の政策金利が大幅に上昇するとの見方は少ない。日欧金利差が大幅に縮小する可能性は高まっていないため、リスク回避的なユーロ売り・円買いがただちに強まる可能性は低いとみられる。

【ユーロ売り要因】
・ECBは2025年も利下げを継続する可能性
・ユーロ圏経済の停滞
・欧米とロシアの対立深まる

【ユーロ買い要因】
・ECBの政策金利は段階的に低下へ
・日本銀行は利上げを急がない方針
・主要国の株高

＜CS＞

アクセスランキング

Tips

A PHP Error was encountered
Severity: Notice
Message: Undefined offset: 0
Filename: smarty/08d1cc69876d91563afb9c1f4d21cc8b7b96caa4_0.file.tips.tpl.php
Line Number: 41
Backtrace:
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/08d1cc69876d91563afb9c1f4d21cc8b7b96caa4_0.file.tips.tpl.php
Line: 41
Function: _error_handler
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_resource_base.php
Line: 123
Function: content_66f26b3d14aa11_83151422
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_compiled.php
Line: 114
Function: getRenderedTemplateCode
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 217
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 386
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/d064ec4523cd2f49c67136b7b84705846d19c90b_0.file.side.tpl.php
Line: 43
Function: _subTemplateRender
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_resource_base.php
Line: 123
Function: content_66f26b47775ef5_14228348
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_compiled.php
Line: 114
Function: getRenderedTemplateCode
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 217
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 386
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/597cefa22c7600eaa32b117569a9685c70819274_0.file.show.tpl.php
Line: 416
Function: _subTemplateRender
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 248
Function: callBlock
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 184
Function: callBlock
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 186
Function: process
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 156
Function: process
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/fbdaa42e51518f8881faeabdc1199f6dd175d1ce_0.file.base_index_layout.tpl.php
Line: 88
Function: instanceBlock
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_resource_base.php
Line: 123
Function: content_66f26b3cb92fa0_94546305
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_compiled.php
Line: 114
Function: getRenderedTemplateCode
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 217
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 386
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 116
Function: _subTemplateRender
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/597cefa22c7600eaa32b117569a9685c70819274_0.file.show.tpl.php
Line: 71
Function: endChild
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_resource_base.php
Line: 123
Function: content_675a781dcbf339_49719938
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_compiled.php
Line: 114
Function: getRenderedTemplateCode
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 217
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_templatebase.php
Line: 238
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_templatebase.php
Line: 116
Function: _execute
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/libraries/SmartyLibrary.php
Line: 45
Function: fetch
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/controllers/ArticleController.php
Line: 32
Function: view
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/public/index.php
Line: 292
Function: require_once
A PHP Error was encountered
Severity: Notice
Message: Trying to access array offset on value of type null
Filename: smarty/49292b3df7e5bd60f7381ff16c5ca4532cf9476f_0.file.card.tpl.php
Line Number: 24
Backtrace:
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/49292b3df7e5bd60f7381ff16c5ca4532cf9476f_0.file.card.tpl.php
Line: 24
Function: _error_handler
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_resource_base.php
Line: 123
Function: content_66f26b3d136f97_11902452
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_compiled.php
Line: 114
Function: getRenderedTemplateCode
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 384
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/08d1cc69876d91563afb9c1f4d21cc8b7b96caa4_0.file.tips.tpl.php
Line: 41
Function: _subTemplateRender
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_resource_base.php
Line: 123
Function: content_66f26b3d14aa11_83151422
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_compiled.php
Line: 114
Function: getRenderedTemplateCode
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 217
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 386
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/d064ec4523cd2f49c67136b7b84705846d19c90b_0.file.side.tpl.php
Line: 43
Function: _subTemplateRender
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_resource_base.php
Line: 123
Function: content_66f26b47775ef5_14228348
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_compiled.php
Line: 114
Function: getRenderedTemplateCode
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 217
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 386
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/597cefa22c7600eaa32b117569a9685c70819274_0.file.show.tpl.php
Line: 416
Function: _subTemplateRender
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 248
Function: callBlock
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 184
Function: callBlock
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 186
Function: process
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 156
Function: process
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/fbdaa42e51518f8881faeabdc1199f6dd175d1ce_0.file.base_index_layout.tpl.php
Line: 88
Function: instanceBlock
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_resource_base.php
Line: 123
Function: content_66f26b3cb92fa0_94546305
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_compiled.php
Line: 114
Function: getRenderedTemplateCode
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 217
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 386
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 116
Function: _subTemplateRender
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/597cefa22c7600eaa32b117569a9685c70819274_0.file.show.tpl.php
Line: 71
Function: endChild
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_resource_base.php
Line: 123
Function: content_675a781dcbf339_49719938
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_compiled.php
Line: 114
Function: getRenderedTemplateCode
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 217
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_templatebase.php
Line: 238
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_templatebase.php
Line: 116
Function: _execute
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/libraries/SmartyLibrary.php
Line: 45
Function: fetch
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/controllers/ArticleController.php
Line: 32
Function: view
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/public/index.php
Line: 292
Function: require_once

" class="text-decoration-none w-100" target="_blank">

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Notice

Message: Trying to access array offset on value of type null

Filename: smarty/49292b3df7e5bd60f7381ff16c5ca4532cf9476f_0.file.card.tpl.php

Line Number: 29

Backtrace:

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/49292b3df7e5bd60f7381ff16c5ca4532cf9476f_0.file.card.tpl.php
Line: 29
Function: _error_handler

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_resource_base.php
Line: 123
Function: content_66f26b3d136f97_11902452

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_compiled.php
Line: 114
Function: getRenderedTemplateCode

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 384
Function: render

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/08d1cc69876d91563afb9c1f4d21cc8b7b96caa4_0.file.tips.tpl.php
Line: 41
Function: _subTemplateRender

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_resource_base.php
Line: 123
Function: content_66f26b3d14aa11_83151422

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_compiled.php
Line: 114
Function: getRenderedTemplateCode

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 217
Function: render

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 386
Function: render

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/d064ec4523cd2f49c67136b7b84705846d19c90b_0.file.side.tpl.php
Line: 43
Function: _subTemplateRender

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_resource_base.php
Line: 123
Function: content_66f26b47775ef5_14228348

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_compiled.php
Line: 114
Function: getRenderedTemplateCode

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 217
Function: render

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 386
Function: render

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/597cefa22c7600eaa32b117569a9685c70819274_0.file.show.tpl.php
Line: 416
Function: _subTemplateRender

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 248
Function: callBlock

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 184
Function: callBlock

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 186
Function: process

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 156
Function: process

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/fbdaa42e51518f8881faeabdc1199f6dd175d1ce_0.file.base_index_layout.tpl.php
Line: 88
Function: instanceBlock

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_resource_base.php
Line: 123
Function: content_66f26b3cb92fa0_94546305

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_compiled.php
Line: 114
Function: getRenderedTemplateCode

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 217
Function: render

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 386
Function: render

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 116
Function: _subTemplateRender

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/597cefa22c7600eaa32b117569a9685c70819274_0.file.show.tpl.php
Line: 71
Function: endChild

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_resource_base.php
Line: 123
Function: content_675a781dcbf339_49719938

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_compiled.php
Line: 114
Function: getRenderedTemplateCode

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 217
Function: render

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_templatebase.php
Line: 238
Function: render

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_templatebase.php
Line: 116
Function: _execute

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/libraries/SmartyLibrary.php
Line: 45
Function: fetch

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/controllers/ArticleController.php
Line: 32
Function: view

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/public/index.php
Line: 292
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Notice

Message: Undefined offset: 1

Filename: smarty/08d1cc69876d91563afb9c1f4d21cc8b7b96caa4_0.file.tips.tpl.php

Line Number: 41

Backtrace:

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/08d1cc69876d91563afb9c1f4d21cc8b7b96caa4_0.file.tips.tpl.php
Line: 41
Function: _error_handler