今日の為替市場ポイント:◆ユーロ編◆リスク選好的なユーロ買い・円売りがただちに強まる可能性は低い見通し

2023年09月01日 08:13:00
マネー
FISCO

*08:13JST 今日の為替市場ポイント:◆ユーロ編◆リスク選好的なユーロ買い・円売りがただちに強まる可能性は低い見通しユーロ・ドルは、1.0341ドル（2017/01/03）まで下落したが、1.2537ドル（2018/01/25）まで上昇。英国民投票で欧州連合（EU）からの離脱が決定し、ユーロ・円は一時109円57銭（2016/06/24）まで急落。その後137円50銭（2018/2/2）まで買われたあと、長く伸び悩んだが、欧州銀行（ECB）による追加利上げ後に159円49銭（2023/8/22）まで上昇。ユーロ圏のインフレ率は高止まりの状態が続いており、日欧の政策金利格差は長期間維持される可能性が高い。ただし、景気悪化の懸念は消えていないため、新たなユーロ買い材料が提供されない場合、リスク選好的なユーロ買い・円売りがただちに強まる可能性は低いとみられる。

【ユーロ売り要因】
・ECB政策金利は長期間据え置きとなる可能性
・インフレ高止まりでユーロ圏経済の悪化懸念
・中国経済の先行き不安高まる

【ユーロ買い要因】
・米インフレ緩和傾向
・ドイツなどユーロ圏諸国のインフレ率は高止まりの可能性
・日欧金利差は一定の水準を維持する見込み

＜CS＞

アクセスランキング

Tips

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