軟調、心理的な節目の38000円を意識か

2025年01月17日 08:25:00
マネー
FISCO
コメント

日経平均は米国市場の影響を受け軟調な展開が予想されます。前日の取引では一時200日移動平均線を上回ったものの、75日線に抑えられる形となり、ローソク足は5日連続で陰線を形成しました。ボリンジャーバンドの-2σ水準（38340円）が一時的なサポートとして機能していますが、トレンドは悪化しています。二段下げの状態が続くなか、昨年11月下旬に下げ止まった心理的な節目の38000円前後が注目されます。本日の予想レンジは上限38500円、下限38000円です。

*08:25JST 軟調、心理的な節目の38000円を意識か [本日の想定レンジ]
16日の米NYダウは68.42ドル安の43153.13、ナスダック総合指数は172.94pt安の19338.29、シカゴ日経225先物は大阪日中比335円安の38335円だった。本日の日経平均は軟調な展開が想定される。前日は一昨日に続き200日移動平均線（38672円）を上回って始まったものの、買いは続かず75日線（38945円）水準に上値を抑えられる形となった。ローソク足は5日連続して陰線を形成し、下値のめどとして意識される200日線水準をも下回った。下値はボリンジャーバンドの-2σ水準がサポート（38340円）となったが、同バンドが下向きで推移するなか、トレンドは悪化傾向にある。
昨年12月高値からの二段下げの状態が続くなか、マドを空けた状態が続いており、昨年11月下旬で下げ渋った心理的な節目の38000円前後で下げ止まるのかが注目されよう。

[予想レンジ]
上限38500円－下限38000円

＜SK＞

アクセスランキング

Tips

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