自律反発、75日線水準を回復できるのか注目

2025年01月15日 08:25:00
マネー
FISCO
コメント

14日、米NYダウは221.16ドル上昇し、ナスダック総合指数は43.71ポイント下落するなどまちまちな動きを見せました。シカゴ日経225先物は大阪日中比225円高の38725円となりました。本日の日経平均は、前日716.10円の急落による突っ込み警戒感から自律反発が期待されています。200日線を下回り、ボリンジャーバンドの-2σを割り込むなど、現在の売られ過ぎ加減が意識されています。25日移動平均線が下降に転じ、RSIも低下し、さらなる下落圧力が懸念されています。昨年12月からの二段下げの続きとして、38000円のサポートが機能するのか、前日のギャップを早期に埋めるかが注目されます。今日の予想レンジは38500円から39000円です。

*08:25JST 自律反発、75日線水準を回復できるのか注目 [本日の想定レンジ]
14日の米NYダウは221.16ドル高の42518.28、ナスダック総合指数は43.71pt安の19044.39、シカゴ日経225先物は大阪日中比225円高の38725円とまちまちだった。本日の日経平均は突っ込み警戒感から自律反発の展開が想定される。前日は終値716.10円安と急落し、下値のめどとされる200日線水準を下抜けた。また、ボリンジャーバンドの-2σをも割り込み売られ過ぎが意識されそうだ。前日で25日線も下降に転じ、RSIも44.54まで低下し、本日も低下が続きやすいタイミングとなりそうで、昨年12月
高値から二段下げの下値模索が続いている。昨年11月後半で下げ渋りを見せた節目の38000円程度で下げ止まるのか、前日の取引開始時で空けたマドを早期に埋められるのかがポイントになろう。

[予想レンジ]
上限39000円－下限38500円

＜SK＞

アクセスランキング

Tips

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