反落、25日線キープで上昇トレンド継続中

2025年01月08日 08:25:00
マネー
FISCO
コメント

前日の米国市場でダウ平均とナスダックがそれぞれ178.20ドル、375.30ポイント下落した影響で、本日の日経平均は反落する可能性が高い。前日は776.25円の上昇を見せたが、4万円を超えると上昇が鈍化した。25日移動平均線を下回らず上昇トレンドを維持しており、一目均衡表も強気を示唆している。しかし、米国の長期金利上昇が市場に影響を与え、今日の取引は売りが優勢となる可能性がある。予想レンジは上限40000円から下限39400円であり、特に終値が25日線を下回ると調整の長期化に注意が必要。

*08:25JST 反落、25日線キープで上昇トレンド継続中 [本日の想定レンジ]
前日7日の米国市場のダウ平均は178.20ドル安の42,528.36ドル、ナスダックは375.30pt安の19,489.68pt、シカゴ日経225先物は大阪日中比265円安の39735円。本日の日経平均は反落が予想される。昨日は776.25円高で終了。ローソク足は下ヒゲを伴わない陽線を引き、終日買い圧力の強まりを窺わせた。一方、心理的節目となる4万円を超えると上値の重い展開となった。上向きをキープする25日移動平均線（39247.36円）を下回る場面はなく引き続き上昇基調を維持する形にもなった。一目均衡表が三役好転下の強気形状を維持したこともあり、大勢では上昇トレンドが継続中と推察される。ただ、米長期金利が上昇して米株や砂となった中、前日上昇分の反動も想定され、本日は売り優勢の展開となろう。引き続き、終値が25日線を下回るようだと、調整長期化リスクへの留意も必要になってきそうだ。

[予想レンジ]
上限40000円－下限39400円

＜SK＞

アクセスランキング

Tips

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