もみ合い、パラボリック陰転で売り圧力

2024年12月20日 08:25:00
マネー
FISCO
コメント

19日の米株市場では、ダウ平均が若干上昇し15.37ドル高の42342.24ドルとなりましたが、ナスダックは19.92ポイント安の19372.77ポイントでした。シカゴ日経225先物は60円安の39020円で取引を終えています。本日の日経平均については、前日の75日移動平均線割れからの回復が確認され、若干の押し目買いの動きが見られるものの、パラボリックが売りサインを点灯しており、短期的には下落圧力が高まっていると見られます。さらに、終値が25日移動平均線を下回っていることから、地合い悪化の警鐘とされています。本日の予想レンジは、上限が39250円、下限が38700円と見られ、25日線下回りが続いた場合には、更なる調整リスクに注意が必要です。

*08:25JST もみ合い、パラボリック陰転で売り圧力 [本日の想定レンジ]
19日の米NYダウは15.37ドル高の42342.24、ナスダック総合指数は19.92pt安の19372.77、シカゴ日経225先物は大阪日中比60円安の39020円。本日の日経平均はもみ合いが予想される。昨日は75日移動平均線（38447.06円）割れまで押された後は下げ幅を縮めてローソク足は陽線で終了。12月12日高値から昨日安値まで1736.03円安と下げ幅が大きいこともあり、75日線付近での押し目買い需要を確認する形となった。一方、終値が25日線を下回って地合い悪化を警告していることに加え、パラボリックが売りサイン点灯を開始して短期的な下押し圧力の増大を窺わせている。25日線の下方乖離率は0.10％と小さいためリバウンドの勢いは出にくいとみられ、上値は重くなりそうだ。また、本日終値も25日線割れとなれば、調整長期化リスクへの留意が必要となろう。

[予想レンジ]
上限39250円－下限38700円

＜SK＞

アクセスランキング

Tips

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