大幅安、終値の25日線下放れを警戒

2024年12月19日 08:25:00
マネー
FISCO
コメント

米NYダウが大幅安となり、日本市場にも不安が広がっています。前日のシカゴ日経225先物が大阪比で740円安となり、本日の日経平均はこれに追随して大幅下落が予想されます。最近の日経平均はローソク足が5本連続陰線を形成し、特に「陰の大引け坊主」が2日連続で出現しており、強い売り圧力が継続しています。ただし、25日移動平均線（38863.41円）をまだ下回っていないため、今のところ短期的な調整と見られています。本日の終値が25日線を明確に下回ると、長期的な調整リスクが増し、マーケットの弱気ムードが強まる可能性があります。予想レンジは上限38750円、下限38000円です。

*08:25JST 大幅安、終値の25日線下放れを警戒 [本日の想定レンジ]
18日の米NYダウは1123.03ドル安の42326.87、ナスダック総合指数は716.37pt安の19392.69、シカゴ日経225先物は大阪日中比740円安の38460円。本日の日経平均はシカゴ日経225先物にサヤ寄せして大幅な下落が予想される。昨日はローソク足が5本連続陰線で終了。下ヒゲのない「陰の大引け坊主」が2日連続で出現し、強い売り圧力を残して大引けを迎える形となった。株価は下降2日目の5日移動平均線を上回る場面がなく、短期的な下落圧力の強まりを窺わせた。一方、株価自体は上向きの25日線（38863.41円）の上方にとどまり、昨日までの下落は短期的なスピード調整の範囲内と位置付けられそうだ。しかし、本日終値が25日線を明確に下放れればチャート形状の悪化が鮮明になり、調整長期化リスクへの留意が必要となろう。

[予想レンジ]
上限38750円－下限38000円

＜SK＞

アクセスランキング

Tips

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