軟調、38000円割れを警戒

2024年11月21日 08:25:00
マネー
FISCO
コメント

20日の米NY市場はダウが上昇したものの、ナスダック総合は下落し、日本市場もこれに影響され軟調な動きが予想されています。前日の終値が62.09円安であり、7日連続で5日平均線を下回っており、短期的な売り圧力が強まっています。12日の高値から下落が続いているものの、売られ過ぎと言えるほどの乖離率ではなく、トレンドはまだ下向きです。重要なサポートラインである38000円を割り込むと、更なる下落リスクに注意が必要です。予想レンジは38450円から37950円です。

*08:25JST 軟調、38000円割れを警戒 [本日の想定レンジ]
20日の米NYダウは139.53ドル高の43408.47、ナスダック総合指数は21.32pt安の18966.14、シカゴ日経225先物は大阪日中比160円安の38280円。本日の日経平均は軟調が予想される。昨日は終値62.09円安と小反落。高値、安値ともに前日水準から切り下がるとともに、終値は7営業日連続で5日平均線を下回り、短期的な売り圧力の強さを窺わせた。12日ザラ場高値39866.72円から下落基調が続いているが、25日線との下方乖離率は1.07％と売られ過ぎ感は乏しく、5日、25日、13週の各線が下向きのため短期下落トレンドの延長が警戒される。18日の直近安値38150.39円から節目の38000円までが下値支持帯と目されるが、この価格帯を下回れば52週線（昨日37761.51円）に向けてレンジを切り下げる展開となるリスクに留意が必要となろう。

[予想レンジ]
上限38450円－下限37950円

＜SK＞

アクセスランキング

Tips

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