弱もみ合い、短期DCとパラボリ陰転で地合い悪化

2024年11月19日 08:25:00
マネー
FISCO

本日の日経平均は、弱もみ合いが予想されています。これは、ローソク足が5本連続で陰線を形成し、終値が200日移動平均線を下回ったことによるものです。さらに、5日移動平均線が25日移動平均線を上から下に抜け、短期デッドクロスが形成されました。また、パラボリックは10月29日以降初の売りサインが点灯し、短期的な下落局面への警戒が強まっています。過去200日線が下値支持線として作用したのに対し、現在は上値抵抗線とされ、38500円接近で売り物が増えそうです。一方で、38000円の支持ラインを下回ることなく、下値での買い需要も確認されており、大幅な下落は限定的になると見られています。予想レンジは、上限38450円から下限38000円となっています。

*08:25JST 弱もみ合い、短期DCとパラボリ陰転で地合い悪化 [本日の想定レンジ]
週明け18日の米NYダウは55.39ドル安の43389.60、ナスダック総合指数は111.69pt高の18791.81、シカゴ日経225先物は大阪日中比80円高の38340円。本日の日経平均は弱もみ合いが予想される。昨日はローソク足が5本連続陰線で終了。終値が200日移動平均線を下回ったほか、下降中の25日線を5日線が上から下に抜けて短期デッドクロス（DC）を形成した。パラボリックが10月29日以来の売りサイン点灯を開始したこともあり、短期的な下落局面入りが警戒される。先週に下値支持線として作用した200日線（昨日38537.61円）が今週は上値抵抗線として意識され、38500円処に接近するにつれて売り物が厚みを増そう。一方、昨日は節目の38000円割れを回避して下値での買い需要を確認する形にもなっており、下げ幅も限定的となりそうだ。

[予想レンジ]
上限38450円－下限38000円

＜SK＞

アクセスランキング

Tips

A PHP Error was encountered
Severity: Notice
Message: Undefined offset: 0
Filename: smarty/08d1cc69876d91563afb9c1f4d21cc8b7b96caa4_0.file.tips.tpl.php
Line Number: 41
Backtrace:
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/08d1cc69876d91563afb9c1f4d21cc8b7b96caa4_0.file.tips.tpl.php
Line: 41
Function: _error_handler
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_resource_base.php
Line: 123
Function: content_66f26b3d14aa11_83151422
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_compiled.php
Line: 114
Function: getRenderedTemplateCode
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 217
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 386
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/d064ec4523cd2f49c67136b7b84705846d19c90b_0.file.side.tpl.php
Line: 43
Function: _subTemplateRender
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_resource_base.php
Line: 123
Function: content_66f26b47775ef5_14228348
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_compiled.php
Line: 114
Function: getRenderedTemplateCode
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 217
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 386
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/597cefa22c7600eaa32b117569a9685c70819274_0.file.show.tpl.php
Line: 417
Function: _subTemplateRender
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 248
Function: callBlock
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 184
Function: callBlock
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 186
Function: process
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 156
Function: process
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/fbdaa42e51518f8881faeabdc1199f6dd175d1ce_0.file.base_index_layout.tpl.php
Line: 88
Function: instanceBlock
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_resource_base.php
Line: 123
Function: content_66f26b3cb92fa0_94546305
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_compiled.php
Line: 114
Function: getRenderedTemplateCode
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 217
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 386
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 116
Function: _subTemplateRender
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/597cefa22c7600eaa32b117569a9685c70819274_0.file.show.tpl.php
Line: 71
Function: endChild
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_resource_base.php
Line: 123
Function: content_671b089d2e5dc3_21870328
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_compiled.php
Line: 114
Function: getRenderedTemplateCode
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 217
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_templatebase.php
Line: 238
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_templatebase.php
Line: 116
Function: _execute
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/libraries/SmartyLibrary.php
Line: 45
Function: fetch
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/controllers/ArticleController.php
Line: 32
Function: view
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/public/index.php
Line: 292
Function: require_once
A PHP Error was encountered
Severity: Notice
Message: Trying to access array offset on value of type null
Filename: smarty/49292b3df7e5bd60f7381ff16c5ca4532cf9476f_0.file.card.tpl.php
Line Number: 24
Backtrace:
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/49292b3df7e5bd60f7381ff16c5ca4532cf9476f_0.file.card.tpl.php
Line: 24
Function: _error_handler
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_resource_base.php
Line: 123
Function: content_66f26b3d136f97_11902452
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_compiled.php
Line: 114
Function: getRenderedTemplateCode
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 384
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/08d1cc69876d91563afb9c1f4d21cc8b7b96caa4_0.file.tips.tpl.php
Line: 41
Function: _subTemplateRender
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_resource_base.php
Line: 123
Function: content_66f26b3d14aa11_83151422
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_compiled.php
Line: 114
Function: getRenderedTemplateCode
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 217
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 386
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/d064ec4523cd2f49c67136b7b84705846d19c90b_0.file.side.tpl.php
Line: 43
Function: _subTemplateRender
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_resource_base.php
Line: 123
Function: content_66f26b47775ef5_14228348
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_compiled.php
Line: 114
Function: getRenderedTemplateCode
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 217
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 386
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/597cefa22c7600eaa32b117569a9685c70819274_0.file.show.tpl.php
Line: 417
Function: _subTemplateRender
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 248
Function: callBlock
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 184
Function: callBlock
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 186
Function: process
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 156
Function: process
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/fbdaa42e51518f8881faeabdc1199f6dd175d1ce_0.file.base_index_layout.tpl.php
Line: 88
Function: instanceBlock
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_resource_base.php
Line: 123
Function: content_66f26b3cb92fa0_94546305
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_compiled.php
Line: 114
Function: getRenderedTemplateCode
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 217
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 386
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 116
Function: _subTemplateRender
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/597cefa22c7600eaa32b117569a9685c70819274_0.file.show.tpl.php
Line: 71
Function: endChild
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_resource_base.php
Line: 123
Function: content_671b089d2e5dc3_21870328
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_compiled.php
Line: 114
Function: getRenderedTemplateCode
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 217
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_templatebase.php
Line: 238
Function: render
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_templatebase.php
Line: 116
Function: _execute
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/libraries/SmartyLibrary.php
Line: 45
Function: fetch
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/controllers/ArticleController.php
Line: 32
Function: view
File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/public/index.php
Line: 292
Function: require_once

" class="text-decoration-none w-100" target="_blank">

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Notice

Message: Trying to access array offset on value of type null

Filename: smarty/49292b3df7e5bd60f7381ff16c5ca4532cf9476f_0.file.card.tpl.php

Line Number: 29

Backtrace:

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/49292b3df7e5bd60f7381ff16c5ca4532cf9476f_0.file.card.tpl.php
Line: 29
Function: _error_handler

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_resource_base.php
Line: 123
Function: content_66f26b3d136f97_11902452

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_compiled.php
Line: 114
Function: getRenderedTemplateCode

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 384
Function: render

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/08d1cc69876d91563afb9c1f4d21cc8b7b96caa4_0.file.tips.tpl.php
Line: 41
Function: _subTemplateRender

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_resource_base.php
Line: 123
Function: content_66f26b3d14aa11_83151422

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_compiled.php
Line: 114
Function: getRenderedTemplateCode

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 217
Function: render

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 386
Function: render

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/d064ec4523cd2f49c67136b7b84705846d19c90b_0.file.side.tpl.php
Line: 43
Function: _subTemplateRender

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_resource_base.php
Line: 123
Function: content_66f26b47775ef5_14228348

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_compiled.php
Line: 114
Function: getRenderedTemplateCode

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 217
Function: render

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 386
Function: render

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/597cefa22c7600eaa32b117569a9685c70819274_0.file.show.tpl.php
Line: 417
Function: _subTemplateRender

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 248
Function: callBlock

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 184
Function: callBlock

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 186
Function: process

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 156
Function: process

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/fbdaa42e51518f8881faeabdc1199f6dd175d1ce_0.file.base_index_layout.tpl.php
Line: 88
Function: instanceBlock

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_resource_base.php
Line: 123
Function: content_66f26b3cb92fa0_94546305

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_compiled.php
Line: 114
Function: getRenderedTemplateCode

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 217
Function: render

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 386
Function: render

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_runtime_inheritance.php
Line: 116
Function: _subTemplateRender

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/597cefa22c7600eaa32b117569a9685c70819274_0.file.show.tpl.php
Line: 71
Function: endChild

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_resource_base.php
Line: 123
Function: content_671b089d2e5dc3_21870328

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_template_compiled.php
Line: 114
Function: getRenderedTemplateCode

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_template.php
Line: 217
Function: render

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_templatebase.php
Line: 238
Function: render

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/third_party/smarty/libs/sysplugins/smarty_internal_templatebase.php
Line: 116
Function: _execute

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/libraries/SmartyLibrary.php
Line: 45
Function: fetch

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/controllers/ArticleController.php
Line: 32
Function: view

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/public/index.php
Line: 292
Function: require_once

A PHP Error was encountered

Severity: Notice

Message: Undefined offset: 1

Filename: smarty/08d1cc69876d91563afb9c1f4d21cc8b7b96caa4_0.file.tips.tpl.php

Line Number: 41

Backtrace:

File: /www/wwwroot/homev2.kingsoft.jp/application/cache/smarty/08d1cc69876d91563afb9c1f4d21cc8b7b96caa4_0.file.tips.tpl.php
Line: 41
Function: _error_handler