弱もみ合い、短期DCとパラボリ陰転で地合い悪化

2024年11月19日 08:25:00
マネー
FISCO
コメント

本日の日経平均は、弱もみ合いが予想されています。これは、ローソク足が5本連続で陰線を形成し、終値が200日移動平均線を下回ったことによるものです。さらに、5日移動平均線が25日移動平均線を上から下に抜け、短期デッドクロスが形成されました。また、パラボリックは10月29日以降初の売りサインが点灯し、短期的な下落局面への警戒が強まっています。過去200日線が下値支持線として作用したのに対し、現在は上値抵抗線とされ、38500円接近で売り物が増えそうです。一方で、38000円の支持ラインを下回ることなく、下値での買い需要も確認されており、大幅な下落は限定的になると見られています。予想レンジは、上限38450円から下限38000円となっています。

*08:25JST 弱もみ合い、短期DCとパラボリ陰転で地合い悪化 [本日の想定レンジ]
週明け18日の米NYダウは55.39ドル安の43389.60、ナスダック総合指数は111.69pt高の18791.81、シカゴ日経225先物は大阪日中比80円高の38340円。本日の日経平均は弱もみ合いが予想される。昨日はローソク足が5本連続陰線で終了。終値が200日移動平均線を下回ったほか、下降中の25日線を5日線が上から下に抜けて短期デッドクロス（DC）を形成した。パラボリックが10月29日以来の売りサイン点灯を開始したこともあり、短期的な下落局面入りが警戒される。先週に下値支持線として作用した200日線（昨日38537.61円）が今週は上値抵抗線として意識され、38500円処に接近するにつれて売り物が厚みを増そう。一方、昨日は節目の38000円割れを回避して下値での買い需要を確認する形にもなっており、下げ幅も限定的となりそうだ。

[予想レンジ]
上限38450円－下限38000円

＜SK＞

アクセスランキング

Tips

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